FANS Playoff Probabilities – AL Version
Last week David posted projected standings generated from the FANS projections. I thought it would be interesting to dig a little deeper and investigate what it means for example to have the Yankees...
View ArticleFANS Playoff Probabilities – NL Version
Last week I presented American League playoff probabilities based on a simulation I had created (which I came to find is similar to the one produced by xls sports if you want to play around with this...
View ArticleDead Money
Every season some teams spend money on players that are going to be on other team’s rosters. For example, according to Cots Contracts, the Red Sox will be paying $9.25M for Julio Lugo to play for the...
View ArticleOrganizational Rankings: Current Talent – Milwaukee
The Brewers are coming off of an 80 win season in which their position players earned the right to pummel their pitchers into a big pile of replacementness. The position players accumulated 26.1 WAR,...
View ArticleOrganizational Rankings: Current Talent – Texas
The Rangers are coming off of a 87 win campaign in which they finished 10 games back of the Angels. This year CHONE has them winning between 85-86 wins depending on the method, the FANS have them at...
View ArticleScrap Heap Heroes
One last off season related post to clear out of the outbox before we get too far into the season. Within its MLB preview SI listed the top performers (using 2009 WAR as the metric) within various 2010...
View ArticleThe Dave Duncan Effect
Last week Dave, in his piece on Real Groundball Rates, and Erik, in a piece on Brad Penny’s first start, referenced Dave Duncan’s ability to get his pitchers to generate a great deal of groundball...
View ArticleSome Early Observations on Reliever Usage
My goal at the start of the research for this article was to develop a quick methodology (i.e. not digging into individual game logs) to find out how effectively teams were deploying their relievers....
View ArticleTrevor Hoffman’s Struggles
As Eno pointed out last week over on the RotoGraphs side, Trevor Hoffman is struggling right now. He’s currently sporting a FIP of 10.50, XFIP of 6.62, and a WPA of -1.54. Is there anything in the data...
View ArticleCloser Usage in the AL East
A few weeks ago I toyed around with a metric for comparing bullpen usage between teams. In that same post I highlighted a couple of relievers by plotting their pLI by appearance. Jeff Zimmerman took...
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